Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227754          16          47          33           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000871810          12          45          39           4           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   7.81770e-08           9          68          20           3           0        B3.5
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            22.00       50.00       25.25        2.75        0.00     B3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C4.0