Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226934          18          49          30           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000851253          13          50          34           3           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   3.86830e-08          59          38           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             3          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            35.25       44.25       18.75        1.75        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                      B2.0