Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227121          17          47          32           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000856262          14          49          34           3           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   4.44481e-08          53          43           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            33.75       44.75       19.50        2.00        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)