Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227634          17          47          32           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000867188          12          46          38           4           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   7.92631e-08           8          68          21           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            22.00       50.25       25.00        2.75        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                      B1.2