Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227488          17          48          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000847635          12          50          31           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   8.31646e-08           6          63          28           3           0        B4.1
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            21.50       50.25       24.75        3.50        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                      B2.7