Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227787          15          48          33           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000855131          13          49          35           3           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   1.01874e-07           7          58          31           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            13.25       54.75       28.75        3.25        0.00     B5.0
 
realized                                                                                      B6.1