Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227788          15          48          33           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000857231          14          49          34           3           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   1.09247e-07           7          56          35           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            13.25       54.00       29.75        3.00        0.00     B5.1
 
realized                                                                                      B2.4