Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228010          14          45          37           4           0        B6.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000859248          14          49          33           4           0        B6.0
GOES Xray  =   1.23224e-07           8          60          32           0           0        B5.7
est. ISN   =            19          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            12.75       53.25       31.25        2.75        0.00     B5.5
 
realized                                                                                      B1.4