Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227696          17          46          33           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000852734          13          49          35           3           0        B6.9
GOES Xray  =   9.60615e-08           6          61          29           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =            19          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            12.75       53.75       30.00        3.50        0.00     B5.3
 
realized                                                                                      B3.4