Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227474          17          48          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000848079          13          49          31           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   7.58329e-08          11          67          20           2           0        B3.3
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            14.50       56.75       24.75        4.00        0.00     B4.1
 
realized                                                                                      B1.7