Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227414          16          48          32           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000846651          13          49          31           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   7.00048e-08          13          69          17           1           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =            18          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                            15.00       56.25       25.00        3.75        0.00     B4.1
 
realized                                                                                      B6.6