Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227159          17          48          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000839583          14          46          33           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   5.89667e-08          25          64          10           1           0        B1.8
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            18.25       55.25       22.75        3.75        0.00     B3.2
 
realized                                                                                      B2.8