Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227058          16          48          33           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000835661          15          45          33           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   5.70118e-08          30          62           8           0           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =            19          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            19.00       53.50       24.25        3.25        0.00     B3.5
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)