Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227097          16          47          33           4           0        B5.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000836240          14          47          32           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   6.00128e-08          23          63          13           1           0        B1.9
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            17.75       55.25       23.50        3.50        0.00     B3.5
 
realized                                                                                      B3.1