Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226920          18          49          30           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000834145          15          46          32           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   4.89312e-08          47          46           6           1           0        B1.1
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            32.75       45.25       19.25        2.75        0.00     B2.1
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)