Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225981          21          43          32           4           0        B5.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000800032          19          44          30           7           0        B5.2
GOES Xray  =   1.27371e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            32.50       43.50       20.50        3.50        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)