Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226447          21          45          31           3           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000813969          18          44          29           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   4.20482e-08          55          41           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             9          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            32.75       44.00       19.50        3.75        0.00     B2.2
 
realized                                                                                      B2.8