Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226583          22          47          27           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000818781          17          44          30           9           0        B6.1
GOES Xray  =   5.75511e-08          29          62           9           0           0        B1.8
est. ISN   =            11          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            22.50       52.75       21.00        3.75        0.00     B2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4