Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226615          22          46          28           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000819104          17          43          31           9           0        B6.5
GOES Xray  =   5.43881e-08          33          58           8           1           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =            15          19          62          17           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            22.75       52.25       21.00        4.00        0.00     B2.9
 
realized                                                                                      B5.4