Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226623          21          46          29           4           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000820030          15          43          33           9           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   4.88411e-08          47          46           6           1           0        B1.1
est. ISN   =            19          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            24.50       48.50       22.75        4.25        0.00     B3.1
 
realized                                                                                      B1.5