Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226442          21          45          31           3           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000819109          17          43          31           9           0        B6.5
GOES Xray  =   2.83161e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            19          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            28.50       45.75       21.75        4.00        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                      B3.0