Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226388          22          44          31           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000817631          18          45          28           9           0        B5.5
GOES Xray  =   2.78851e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            13          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                            30.25       46.75       19.50        3.50        0.00     B2.5
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)