Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226801          19          47          30           4           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000824857          13          45          35           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   5.53427e-08          32          60           8           0           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =            15          19          62          17           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            20.75       53.50       22.50        3.25        0.00     B3.1
 
realized                                                                                      B5.0