Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226648          21          47          28           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000820464          14          43          33          10           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   4.12716e-08          57          40           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            30.25       45.25       20.25        4.25        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                      B1.3