Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226637          21          47          28           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000819210          17          43          31           9           0        B6.5
GOES Xray  =   4.86440e-08          48          46           5           1           0        B1.1
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            26.00       50.00       20.00        4.00        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)