Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226847          19          48          29           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000808361          20          42          33           5           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   3.98899e-08          56          41           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            20          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                            27.00       47.00       22.75        3.25        0.00     B3.0
 
realized                                                                                      B2.6