Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227034          17          47          33           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000812955          18          44          29           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   5.14596e-08          39          53           7           1           0        B1.4
est. ISN   =            20          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                            21.75       50.25       24.00        4.00        0.00     B3.6
 
realized                                                                                      B4.6