Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227024          18          47          32           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000812815          18          44          29           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   5.85485e-08          26          64           9           1           0        B1.8
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            22.75       51.50       22.00        3.75        0.00     B2.9
 
realized                                                                                      B9.5