Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226901          18          48          30           4           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000812166          18          45          29           8           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   4.77963e-08          51          44           4           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            29.00       47.00       20.25        3.75        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.7