Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226440          21          45          31           3           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000800908          19          44          30           7           0        B5.2
GOES Xray  =   4.27097e-08          55          41           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            19          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            27.50       47.25       21.75        3.50        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                      B5.1