Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226449          21          45          31           3           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000801068          19          44          30           7           0        B5.2
GOES Xray  =   3.28483e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            29.50       47.00       20.00        3.50        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)