Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226662          21          46          29           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000809169          20          42          33           5           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   3.98737e-08          56          41           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            12          21          58          19           2           0        B2.9
 
together                            29.50       46.75       20.75        3.00        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                      B3.2