Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226774          19          47          30           4           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000815008          18          45          28           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   4.72025e-08          52          43           4           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            29.50       46.50       20.00        4.00        0.00     B2.7
 
realized                                                                                      B1.0