Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226604          21          47          28           4           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000809587          20          43          32           5           0        B5.1
GOES Xray  =   3.55853e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            13          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                            30.50       47.00       19.75        2.75        0.00     B2.5
 
realized                                                                                      B1.4