Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226665          21          46          29           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000809531          20          43          32           5           0        B5.1
GOES Xray  =   4.88010e-08          47          46           6           1           0        B1.1
est. ISN   =            16          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                            26.00       50.00       20.75        3.25        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                      B3.0