Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226682          21          46          29           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000809695          19          43          32           6           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   4.84995e-08          48          46           5           1           0        B1.1
est. ISN   =            11          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            27.50       48.25       21.00        3.25        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                      B3.2