Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226593          22          47          27           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000807339          20          43          32           5           0        B5.2
GOES Xray  =   4.99289e-08          43          50           6           1           0        B1.3
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            34.00       45.00       18.50        2.50        0.00     B2.2
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)