Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226694          21          46          29           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000812250          18          45          29           8           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   3.87138e-08          59          38           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            37.00       42.50       17.25        3.25        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)