Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226861          18          49          29           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000818062          17          44          30           9           0        B6.1
GOES Xray  =   5.92666e-08          24          64          11           1           0        B1.8
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            27.50       49.25       19.75        3.50        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                      B1.6