Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226817          19          47          30           4           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000819059          17          43          31           9           0        B6.5
GOES Xray  =   4.15458e-08          55          41           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            13          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                            27.75       48.25       20.25        3.75        0.00     B2.7
 
realized                                                                                      B5.6