Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226894          18          48          30           4           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000818835          17          44          30           9           0        B6.1
GOES Xray  =   6.41806e-08          17          68          14           1           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            17.50       56.00       22.50        4.00        0.00     B3.4
 
realized                                                                                      B1.2