Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226710          20          46          30           4           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000816096          18          45          28           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   3.89568e-08          59          38           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            28.75       48.25       19.00        4.00        0.00     B2.7
 
realized                                                                                      B8.3