Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226064          21          45          30           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000795810          22          44          27           7           0        B5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.04395e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            38.75       41.25       17.00        3.00        0.00     B1.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)