Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226289          22          45          30           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000800232          19          45          29           7           0        B5.1
GOES Xray  =   2.46518e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            32.75       44.25       19.75        3.25        0.00     B2.4
 
realized                                                                                      B8.4