Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226257          22          45          30           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000802452          18          43          32           7           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   2.21398e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            11          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            30.75       45.50       20.50        3.25        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                      B5.9