Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226584          22          47          27           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000812452          18          44          29           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   4.46432e-08          53          43           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                            25.25       47.00       23.25        4.50        0.00     B3.6
 
realized                                                                                      B3.4