Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226570          22          47          28           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000812164          18          45          29           8           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   4.78896e-08          51          44           4           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            11          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            28.25       48.50       19.75        3.50        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                      B9.7