Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226658          21          46          29           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000813789          18          44          29           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   5.76522e-08          28          63           9           0           0        B1.8
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            24.00       51.00       21.25        3.75        0.00     B2.9
 
realized                                                                                      B3.8