Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226936          18          49          30           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000818459          18          44          29           9           0        B6.0
GOES Xray  =   7.75919e-08           9          68          20           3           0        B3.5
est. ISN   =            21          12          52          33           3           0        B6.5
 
together                            14.25       53.25       28.00        4.50        0.00     B4.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1