Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227261          17          48          31           4           0        B5.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000822690          13          45          34           8           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.35769e-07           7          64          28           1           0        B6.6
est. ISN   =            26           7          53          34           6           0        B6.7
 
together                            11.00       52.50       31.75        4.75        0.00     B6.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5